| LEAP DATASET SUMMARY | ||||||||||||||||||||
| CHINA Dataset as Prepared for the East Asia Energy Futures/Asia Energy Security Project | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Printout Prepared by: Lea Prince, Nautilus Institute | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Date Prepared: 4/6/2004 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| All data were extracted from LEAP dataset (version "China", dated 03/08/2003) prepared as a part of the Asia Energy Security/East Asia Energy Futures Project. LEAP dataset prepared by the China EAEF Team: Mr. Guo Baolei, Professor Zhang Aling, Professor Wang Yanjia, and Dr. Gu Alun. Transformation data show results. | ||||||||||||||||||||
| LEAP TRANSFORMATION | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Capacity | All 2000 data are interpolated from 1999 'actual data' | |||||||||||||||||||
| Current Accounts | Business As Usual - Reference | Sustainable Development | High Priority External | High Priority Internal | ||||||||||||||||
| Branch | Scale | Units | 1999 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | |
| Transformation | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Transmission & Distribution | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Processes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electricity | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electricity Generation | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Processes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Existing Lar Scale Coal Fire | Megawatt | 80,370.00 | 79,073.71 | 66,110.81 | 53,147.90 | 40,185.00 | 79,073.71 | 66,110.81 | 53,147.90 | 40,185.00 | 79,073.71 | 66,110.81 | 53,147.90 | 40,185.00 | 79,073.71 | 66,110.81 | 53,147.90 | 40,185.00 | ||
| Large&mid Hydro | Megawatt | 52,053.50 | 57,321.36 | 110,000.00 | 160,000.00 | 190,000.00 | 57,321.36 | 110,000.00 | 160,000.00 | 190,000.00 | 57,321.36 | 110,000.00 | 160,000.00 | 190,000.00 | 57,321.36 | 110,000.00 | 160,000.00 | 190,000.00 | ||
| Nuclear | Megawatt | 2,100.00 | 2,633.33 | 8,700.00 | 8,700.00 | 8,700.00 | 2,633.33 | 8,700.00 | 8,700.00 | 8,700.00 | 2,633.33 | 8,700.00 | 8,700.00 | 8,700.00 | 2,633.33 | 8,700.00 | 8,700.00 | 8,700.00 | ||
| Windpower | Megawatt | 268.00 | 320.00 | 840.00 | 1,100.00 | 1,100.00 | 320.00 | 840.00 | 1,100.00 | 1,100.00 | 320.00 | 840.00 | 1,100.00 | 1,100.00 | 300.00 | 1,566.67 | 3,466.67 | 6,000.00 | ||
| Low&mid Scale Coal fire | Megawatt | 109,400.00 | 107,635.48 | 89,990.32 | 72,345.16 | 54,700.00 | 107,635.48 | 89,990.32 | 72,345.16 | 54,700.00 | 107,733.33 | 79,520.00 | 39,760.00 | - | 107,635.48 | 89,990.32 | 72,345.16 | 54,700.00 | ||
| Gas fire | Megawatt | 5,104.09 | 4,972.37 | 3,655.19 | 2,338.00 | 1,020.82 | 4,972.37 | 3,655.19 | 2,338.00 | 1,020.82 | 4,939.44 | 3,292.96 | 1,646.48 | - | 4,972.37 | 3,655.19 | 2,338.00 | 1,020.82 | ||
| Oil combustion | Megawatt | 5,353.34 | 5,215.19 | 3,833.68 | 2,452.18 | 1,070.67 | 5,215.19 | 3,833.68 | 2,452.18 | 1,070.67 | 5,180.65 | 3,453.77 | 1,726.88 | - | 5,215.19 | 3,833.68 | 2,452.18 | 1,070.67 | ||
| CHP | Megawatt | 24,938.50 | 27,938.50 | 57,938.50 | 87,938.50 | 117,938.50 | 27,938.50 | 57,938.50 | 87,938.50 | 117,938.50 | 27,938.50 | 57,938.50 | 87,938.50 | 117,938.50 | 27,938.50 | 57,938.50 | 87,938.50 | 117,938.50 | ||
| Small hydro | Megawatt | 20,916.50 | 22,097.08 | 32,500.00 | 37,000.00 | 37,000.00 | 22,097.08 | 32,500.00 | 37,000.00 | 37,000.00 | 22,097.08 | 32,500.00 | 37,000.00 | 37,000.00 | 22,097.08 | 32,500.00 | 37,000.00 | 37,000.00 | ||
| Solar pv | Megawatt | 13.00 | 18.50 | 174.00 | 320.00 | 320.00 | 18.50 | 174.00 | 320.00 | 320.00 | 18.50 | 174.00 | 320.00 | 320.00 | 18.50 | 174.00 | 320.00 | 320.00 | ||
| Geothermal | Megawatt | 25.00 | 30.00 | 87.50 | 110.00 | 110.00 | 30.00 | 87.50 | 110.00 | 110.00 | 30.00 | 87.50 | 110.00 | 110.00 | 30.00 | 87.50 | 137.70 | 137.70 | ||
| Advanced Large Coal fire | Megawatt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
| CCGT base load | Megawatt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
| New Wind | Megawatt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 322.58 | 3,548.39 | 6,774.19 | 10,000.00 | ||
| New Biomass | Megawatt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 272.73 | 3,000.00 | 15,000.00 | 20,000.00 | ||
| New Landfill Gas | Megawatt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 483.87 | 5,322.58 | 10,161.29 | 15,000.00 | ||
| New GT NGas | Megawatt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
| Heat supply | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Processes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Coal Process | Million | Tonne Coal Equiv/Year | 83.80 | 99.21 | 163.32 | 227.42 | 291.52 | 99.21 | 163.32 | 227.42 | 291.52 | 99.21 | 163.32 | 227.42 | 291.52 | 99.21 | 163.32 | 227.42 | 291.52 | |
| Manufactured gas process | Million | Tonne Coal Equiv/Year | 4.91 | 4.13 | 7.15 | 10.17 | 13.19 | 4.13 | 7.15 | 10.17 | 13.19 | 4.13 | 7.15 | 10.17 | 13.19 | 4.13 | 7.15 | 10.17 | 13.19 | |
| Oil fired process | Million | Tonne Coal Equiv/Year | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | |
| NG fired process | Million | Tonne Coal Equiv/Year | 2.28 | 2.53 | 5.02 | 7.51 | 10.00 | 2.53 | 5.02 | 7.51 | 10.00 | 2.53 | 5.02 | 7.51 | 10.00 | 2.53 | 5.02 | 7.51 | 10.00 | |
| Gas making | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Processes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| All Process | Thousand | Tonne Coal Equiv/Year | 7,000.00 | 7,350.00 | 11,972.38 | 19,501.74 | 31,766.28 | 7,350.00 | 11,972.38 | 19,501.74 | 31,766.28 | 7,350.00 | 11,972.38 | 19,501.74 | 31,766.28 | 7,350.00 | 11,972.38 | 19,501.74 | 31,766.28 | |
| Coking | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Processes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| All Process | Million | Tonne Coal Equiv/Year | 120.57 | 126.74 | 188.43 | 250.13 | 311.82 | 126.74 | 188.43 | 250.13 | 311.82 | 126.74 | 188.43 | 250.13 | 311.82 | 126.74 | 188.43 | 250.13 | 311.82 | |
| Briquette making | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Processes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| All Process | Million | Tonne Coal Equiv/Year | 50.00 | 52.50 | 85.52 | 139.30 | 226.90 | 52.50 | 85.52 | 139.30 | 226.90 | 52.50 | 85.52 | 139.30 | 226.90 | 52.50 | 85.52 | 139.30 | 226.90 | |
| Biogas making | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Processes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| All Process | Million | Tonne Coal Equiv/Year | 1.43 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 3.99 | 6.49 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 3.99 | 6.49 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 3.99 | 6.49 | 1.57 | 4.08 | 10.59 | 27.47 | |
| Coal washing | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Processes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| All Coal washing | Million | Tonne Coal Equiv/Year | 440.72 | 462.38 | 678.92 | 895.46 | 1,112.00 | 462.38 | 678.92 | 895.46 | 1,112.00 | 462.38 | 678.92 | 895.46 | 1,112.00 | 462.38 | 678.92 | 895.46 | 1,112.00 | |
| Oil Refining | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Processes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| All Refining | Million | Tonne Coal Equiv/Year | 310.49 | 322.94 | 447.44 | 571.94 | 696.44 | 322.94 | 447.44 | 571.94 | 696.44 | 322.94 | 447.44 | 571.94 | 696.44 | 322.94 | 447.44 | 571.94 | 696.44 | |
| Oil Extraction | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Processes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| New Process | Million | Tonne Coal Equiv/Year | 228.58 | 231.44 | 260.04 | 288.64 | 317.24 | 231.44 | 260.04 | 288.64 | 317.24 | 231.44 | 260.04 | 288.64 | 317.24 | 237.16 | 322.96 | 408.76 | 494.56 | |
| NG extraction | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Processes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| New Process | Million | Tonne Coal Equiv/Year | 35.91 | 41.09 | 98.00 | 160.00 | 222.00 | 41.09 | 98.00 | 160.00 | 222.00 | 41.09 | 98.00 | 160.00 | 222.00 | 41.09 | 98.00 | 160.00 | 222.00 | |