LEAP DATASET SUMMARY
JAPAN Dataset as Prepared for the East Asia Energy Futures/Asia Energy Security Project,
as modified for use in the Japan WWF "Power Switch" Analysis of Energy Futures for Japan
Printout Prepared by:      Lea Prince, Nautilus Institute
Date Prepared:                3/22/2004
All data were extracted from LEAP dataset (version "WWF_Japan_11T", dated 1/26/04) prepared for WWF Japan.  LEAP dataset prepared by:  Masami Nakata, Junichiro Oda, Charles Heaps and David Von Hippel -- October, 2003                                                                                                                                                                                            Transformation Data shows results
LEAP TRANSFORMATION DATA
Exogenous Capacity
			Business As Usual					Power Switch
Branch	Scale	Units	2000	2005	2010	2015	2020	2000	2005	2010	2015	2020
Transformation
Transmission & Distribution Electricity
Processes
Electricity
Transmission and Distribution District Heat
Processes
District Heat Distribution
District Heat Production
Processes
All District Heat as of 2000
Electricity Generation
Processes
Existing Coal Fired		Gigawatt	35.84	35.84	35.84	35.84	35.84	35.84	31.92	28.00	19.92	11.84
New Coal Fired Plants		Gigawatt	-	4.08	8.16	12.66	17.16	-	-	-	-	-
Fluidized Bed Combustion Coal		Gigawatt	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
IGCC		Gigawatt	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Existing Oil Fired		Gigawatt	63.95	55.49	48.14	45.78	43.54	63.95	55.49	48.14	41.34	35.50
New Oil Fired		Gigawatt	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cogen Diesel Engine		Gigawatt	2.23	2.50	2.80	3.02	3.25	2.23	3.02	4.08	4.40	4.74
Combustion Turbine		Gigawatt	0.72	0.72	0.72	0.72	0.72	0.72	0.72	0.72	0.72	0.72
Large Hydro		Gigawatt	21.49	21.81	22.13	22.13	22.13	21.49	21.81	22.13	22.13	22.13
Existing Pumped storage hydro		Gigawatt	24.83	24.83	24.83	24.83	24.83	24.83	24.83	24.83	24.83	24.83
New Pump Storage Hydro		Gigawatt	-	2.59	5.18	5.18	5.18	-	2.59	5.18	5.18	5.18
Existing Nuclear		Gigawatt	45.08	45.08	45.08	45.08	45.08	45.08	44.58	44.08	39.58	35.08
New Nuclear		Gigawatt	-	3.41	6.82	11.62	16.42	-	2.33	4.66	5.81	6.95
Existing Natural Gas		Gigawatt	55.48	55.48	55.48	55.48	55.48	55.48	51.73	47.98	42.23	36.48
New Natural Gas		Gigawatt	-	7.58	15.15	16.86	18.56	-	-	-	-	-
Geothermal		Gigawatt	0.56	0.58	0.59	0.57	0.54	0.56	0.58	0.59	0.57	0.54
Combined Cycle NG		Gigawatt	-	-	-	-	-	-	3.25	6.50	19.50	30.50
Cogen Natural Gas Turbine		Gigawatt	2.73	3.06	3.42	3.69	3.98	2.73	3.69	4.99	5.38	5.80
Cogen Natural Gas Engine		Gigawatt	0.55	0.62	0.69	0.74	0.80	0.55	0.74	1.01	1.08	1.17
Fuel Cells		Gigawatt	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.16	0.30	1.15	2.00
MCFC		Gigawatt	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Wind		Gigawatt	0.11	0.45	0.78	1.01	1.23	0.11	1.31	2.50	6.75	11.00
Photovoltaics		Gigawatt	0.25	1.39	2.54	3.10	3.65	0.25	1.62	3.00	6.50	10.00
MSW		Gigawatt	0.98	1.36	1.75	1.97	2.19	0.98	2.57	4.17	4.58	4.98
Industry Waste		Gigawatt	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13
Digestor gas		Gigawatt	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01
Black Liquor and Wood Wastes		Gigawatt	3.10	3.22	3.35	3.35	3.35	3.10	3.22	3.35	3.35	3.35
Micro Gas Turbine		Gigawatt	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01
Other Biomass		Gigawatt	0.08	0.09	0.09	0.10	0.11	0.08	0.50	1.00	2.00	4.00
Others		Gigawatt	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Municipal Gas
Processes
Municipal Gas	Million	Gigajoules/Year	1,300.00	1,400.00	1,500.00	1,600.00	1,700.00	1,300.00	1,400.00	1,500.00	1,600.00	1,700.00
Oil Refining
Processes
All Refineries	Million	Gigajoules/Year	11,232.00	11,232.00	11,232.00	11,232.00	11,232.00	11,232.00	11,232.00	11,232.00	11,232.00	11,232.00
Coke
Processes
Metalurgical Coke	Million	Gigajoules/Year	2,200.00	2,200.00	2,200.00	2,200.00	2,200.00	2,200.00	2,200.00	2,200.00	2,200.00	2,200.00
LNG Imports
Processes
Existing Capacity	Billion	Gigajoules/Year	8.60	8.60	8.60	8.60	8.60	8.60	8.60	8.60	8.60	8.60
New Capacity	Billion	Gigajoules/Year	-	0.50	1.50	2.50	2.50	-	0.30	1.00	1.80	2.80
Coal Mining
Processes
Domestic Coal Mining	Million	Gigajoules/Year	100.00	100.00	100.00	100.00	100.00	100.00	100.00	100.00	100.00	100.00
Natural Gas Extraction
Processes
Existing Domestic Gas Extraction	Million	Gigajoules/Year	100.62	111.09	122.66	135.42	149.52	100.62	111.09	122.66	135.42	149.52
Crude Oil Extraction
Processes
All Domestic Crude Oil and NGL Production	Million	Gigajoules/Year	44.67	44.67	44.67	44.67	44.67	44.67	44.67	44.67	44.67	44.67